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HYPERLIQUID / SEASON 3 SCENARIOS

Hyperliquid Airdrop Checker

Explore a hypothetical HYPE distribution using public activity and an adjustable score model. Start with a wallet lookup, or enter your own assumptions. No connection or signature is required.

INDEPENDENT · READ ONLY
PUBLIC OBSERVATIONS + VISIBLE ASSUMPTIONSHYPE scenariosOBSERVATION → MODEL → SCENARIO

Loading model configuration…

01 / WALLET

Read public activity

Sets lifetime-volume weight to 0.4 before normalization, and other volume weights to 0. Unknown activity stays unknown; adjust the model below.

HYPE reference values are fetched only after you request an estimate.

Inspect a specific period

Lifetime summary and period fills cover different scopes. Period lookup is bounded to 2 pages and may be incomplete. No background wallet refresh runs.

No wallet connection. Submitted addresses and lookup results are not stored.

Public observations and data coverage

Submitted addresses are used transiently for public API requests. No wallet connection, transaction, stored lookup, analytics or tracking. The initial reference is a separate dated public leaderboard snapshot, not a saved visitor submission. Switching checkers clears the current page state.

    

    02 / SCENARIO
    Estimated airdrop
    Probability-weighted USD scenario—
    Your scenario will appear here
    The actual outcome can be zero. This is not a confidence interval, entitlement or return forecast.
    Adjust assumptions and inspect activityWeights, dates, scenarios and data coverage
    Activity inputs
    Blank means unknown, not zero. Returned values remain editable. Lifetime volume is separate from native perpetual, HIP-3 and spot volume in the selected period. Missing weighted inputs contribute zero to this experimental score, which can understate activity.
    Distribution assumptions
    Unavailable
    Score weights and normalization
    Score = sum of normalized weights × 100 × (metric ÷ scale)^power. These settings are uncalibrated. Lifetime volume has zero weight by default; changing it may overlap other volume inputs.
    Pool and price scenarios
    Each pool uses the remaining future-emissions reference after your two deductions. Future emissions also fund other uses; they are not an approved airdrop allocation. Scenario probabilities must total 100%.
    

    Method and sources
    The model estimates a score share against an assumed lognormal population. It applies three reserve/price scenarios, then your distribution and eligibility probabilities. It does not infer official criteria, Sybil filters, historical holdings or allocation rules. Liquidation notional is not treated as a loss. Current staking and HLP balances are not multiplied into historical holding days.
    Official APIs provide observations only; the scoring model and future distribution assumptions are independent. Private account annotations are never default inputs.
    Hyperliquid Info API ↗HYPE tokenDetails ↗Historical points ↗Official announcements ↗